Heya Carsot

Abs cleared it up perfectly
The Breakeven is the score the player needs to score in his next game to maintain his price!

(All breakevens will be set out for all players by use of a chart for you so don't stress out using Lozza's maths)!

Essentially though it works like this -

A player's price does not change till they have played 3 games - before calculating breakevens i will explain to you how to calculate new prices as it is vital you understand this.

Players ongoing weekly scores are calculated using a formula being 75% of last price + 25% of his 3 games rolling average.

 "magic divisor" is 5.312

You calculate the magic number by dividing his price $500'200 by his average 94.16 = 5.312 approx - with me still?

So let's assume the player's starting price is $500'200 and the 3 rounds he scores 97, 65 and 119 = 281 that is the sum of the rolling 3 game scores (average is 93.67) - Right!

The calculation of his price is as follows:
 Starting price - $500'200 x 75% = $375'150 this base will be added to
The rolling 3 game average = 93.67 x 5.312 = $497'575 x 25% =$124'394

Thus new price is $375'150 (75% starting price) + $124'394 (25% of rolling average)  = $499'550

So the breakeven is the score he needs to achieve in the next game to maintain the 3 game average

You need to remember that the first score no longer counts so the 97 is dropped off when calculating the rolling average for the next game hence 65+119+? to = his breakeven
Thus his breakeven is his previous sum of 3 games  =  281 - (65 + 119) = 97 - Voila we have the Breakeven!

Let's say he scores 97

So the breakeven for the next game is 281 - (119 + 97) = 65
The players breakeven is 65 to maintain his average - if he scores 120 his price will rise if he scores 40 his price will drop - i hope that i have not confused you here Carsot.

Remember try a few sums to get yourself into the groove of calculating the Breakeven - the table will make it easy for you but I thought I'd give you the detail - sorry guys - wordy again!

Cheers
lozza

This means that for say Tom Scully, all he needs to do is average 34 or more to rise in prices, and someone like James Podsialy only 16 points

Yeah that's right Ossie!
Thank God my rant made some sort of sense!
Cheers

Heya Tigland

Welcome, Ablett does need to score 140 rolling 3 week average to maintain his average.

He may however, maintain this average and his score still drop if Champion Data lower the "magic number" - they appeared to lower the magic number last year from an opening pricing of 5.391, inexplicably dropping this to approx 5.0 - 5.1 range.

The player pricing at the start of this season was not consistent with their price divisor during the '09 year.
Thus we found the pricing number changed to 5.312 - at least we were able to afford more premiums/midrange players (comparable to '09), the downside was the rookie increase (again) across the board - like bank interest rates or something!

This was done, possibly to "mix things up" - it made many players more affordable obviously.
It's a bit like "the biggest looser" changing rules when they want to.

In the end it's probably not important! Just shows that i dedicate too much time to this i suppose.

lozza

If you're talking about the trading article it can be found here:

http://yoursupercoachcoach.com/blog/lozza/uncategorized/trading-an-insight-from-the-maestros/

And you can do the opposite and deliberately not pick players (Franklin anyone...?) to see how they start

Personally, I try not to get too enticed by the round 3 price change unless, like Marcus pointed out, you have made an obvious selection mistake. Sure, there will be rookies who will jump in price after round 3 but that alone isn't enough to entice me to get them in - for me, 'bubble' trades have to solve two problems at once: Firstly, not having that young gun rookie and secondly, having that mid-priced spud that has to be removed (Malceski / Raines anyone....?). Two weeks isn't much of a form line though so making a trade still carries some risk of failing ... which after all is the beauty of supercoach!

Last year I was fortunate not to make a trade until round 5, which set me up nicely for the season. Mind you, I did carry some spuds which I should have axed after two rounds (yes, you guessed it ....Malceski & Raines). Love these little faces 

top thread - cheers for the advice everyone